“Request for self-restraint” with weak numbers

The state of emergency has been extended for nearly a month.、Until the end of May。In Prime Minister Abe's explanation on the 4th,、Did the previous self-restraint have an effect or not?、And how much can we expect from this extension?、according to each stage、What measures are you considering?、etc. were not visible at all.。Supplementary budget too、Brain weather、For tourism stimulus measures after the coronavirus is over、Such as recording an amount several times to several tens of times more than the amount to cover emergency medical expenses.、This is a policy decision that is questionable as to whether they are really seeing what is in front of them.。

More than 46 billion yen、``Two cloth masks for each household'' using a huge budget。What about a family of three? There was talk from early on that、It's a futile foolish plan to just say, ``Just do something, right?''。I don't know how many people wanted it, but、The basis for calculating the amount of 100,000 yen、Inconsistency with its policy meaning。The government is also stupid、I can only say that the people and the media who welcome it are idiots.。It's not about the amount、It's impossible to think logically、Brain poverty is much more serious than coronavirus。

What the coronavirus is revealing、The medical system is weak、beyond that problem、How we are a people who don't think.、Isn't that what it means?。"The state of emergency has been extended."、Oh yeah?、I don't want it、Until we defeat Corona。It's a 100 million ball crushing fireball.。As of May 5th, the number of infected people in Tokyo is 4,654.、Population: 13,951,781 people(2020/3/13right now)。simply calculate、Infection rate 0.000333。Roughly speaking, 3 out of 10,000 people (1 in 10,000 in Saitama Prefecture)。Also include people who have been discharged from the hospital.、is。The number of deaths in Tokyo is 141 (as of 5/5).、After all, if you divide it by the population, it becomes 1 in 100,000 people.。By the way, Tokyo has the lowest rate of traffic accident fatalities in the country.、2019Approximately 1 in 100,000 people in 2019。Suicide mortality rate is 15.7 (per 100,000 population)compared to、Are the numbers convincing?。The number of suicides this year is sure to increase.。

If you become one of them、that's tough。Because we don't do PCR tests.、I was careful, so I ended up with that number.、Also in words such as、It's only a little bit, but it makes sense。But、Even so, does this mean we have to shut down the economy for half a month? who is feeling the pain、Aren't they a different group from the people who loudly urge people to refrain from going out? This is not to say that infection prevention itself is bad.。However、Isn't this approach itself symbolized by the "two masks per household" policy?、It is a sport that is firmly connected to the essence of current sports.。

Thoughts of "indecisiveness"

「 Yellow apple 」 2020 F120 tempera,alkyd

「思想」なんて大げさだが「早寝早起き」も立派な思想であるというから、Then、積極的な「優柔不断」はもっともっと立派かなというぐらいの気持ち最近「ネガティブ・ケィパビリティ(negative capability)」という言葉を時々耳にするネガテイブな気分に耐える力宙ぶらりんな状態を維持できる能力という意味らしいそれそれあるよね、is。

Still、素早い決断どんなことがあってもへこたれないブレない意志前を向くそんな言葉が巷ではやはりプラスイメージだ「頑張れ」という言葉ももともとは「我を張る」という意味であまり良いイメージではなかったらしいが時代の趨勢で我を張るような人が出世するようになりそれが人々の目指すものに重なってきたのだろう

But、決断が早いことと結果がいいこととは同じではない「結果が同じなら決断が早い方がいいじゃないか」という言い方をする人が結構いる「結果が同じなら」という前提を勝手に置くずるい言い方だがそもそも「同じ結果」などどうやって判定するのかそこまでの思考回路の欠落した物言いだ「どんなことがあってもへこたれない」人間というより機械ではないか?「ブレない意志」確かに隣の頑固親父も自分の誤りなど絶対に認めないブレの無さだ「前を向く」と言えば第二次大戦で日本軍は常に前ばかり向き決して後ろを見ない精神を強調した撤退を「転進」と言い換えるようなセコい考え方で何万人もの若い兵士達を犬死させたのではなかったかそれが今でもプラスイメージなのはどうしてなのだろうか

「根性」とかいう言葉が私は大嫌いだがあえて言えば「根性」を振り回す奴ほど「根性」が無いからだろうと思っている物事には「根性」などで切り抜けることのできないものが山ほどあるその原因やプロセス結果の予測などじっくりネチネチと考えなければ可能なものも可能にならないことが山ほどあるその思考プロセスの長さ緻密な思考過程に耐えられず「えいっいちかばちかだ」と一切を放棄してしまうそれはいさぎよいなどというものではなく単なるバカだそのバカさを隠すために威勢よく「根性」などと口走るのだ、I think。ある人曰く「決断できないことが人間だけにできる思考です」だそうだ。but、よくよく考えてみると少なくとも3分の1くらいは私もバカの仲間のようである

I'm busy killing time

"I think I should draw watercolors like this."

I'm bored so I draw videos every day、いやいやそうじゃない。I know that I can only do what I can't do, but I'm frustrated、I guess so after all。To draw a video、It takes longer than I thought。So it's perfect for killing time、No, that's not it、But maybe that's true。If it's a video like this, it's fine to "shoot video" from the beginning.。But、That's that。

The number of new coronavirus cases in Tokyo today is apparently 189.。More than yesterday's 144。The infection is spreading。So we have to "self-restraint" more strictly? but、It looks tiny from the perspective of 14 million people in Tokyo.。

As of April 10th, the number of PCR tests conducted in Tokyo is、1Approximately 300 cases per day。This means that the maximum number of infected people will not exceed 300 per day.、300After testing, 189 people were positive.、It also shows a certain probability。Only people with symptoms are tested、In this case, you need to be careful about the meaning of the word "probability."、At least, the number of infected people has increased by 189 in Tokyo.、That doesn't mean。

"Number of infected people 189"。How many more or less has increased since yesterday?、Actually, it doesn't mean much、The essence is that "I tested 300 people who complained of symptoms and 189 people tested positive."。Even if you complain of symptoms, only 300 people will be tested.、Even if the test is positive, none of the other 189 people are counted.。If we increase the number of tests, the number of infected people should definitely increase.、You can also say that。I'm not saying that the news reports are lying、(I don't know if it's intentional or not) I don't think they are necessarily trying to convey the essential meaning.。。142、144、189 or、300What does "numbers" mean?、How does this involve the "request" in this "state of emergency"?。It's a good idea to think about that, but also kill time。