“Request for self-restraint” with weak numbers

The state of emergency has been extended for nearly a month.、Until the end of May。In Prime Minister Abe's explanation on the 4th,、Did the previous self-restraint have an effect or not?、And how much can we expect from this extension?、according to each stage、What measures are you considering?、etc. were not visible at all.。Supplementary budget too、Brain weather、For tourism stimulus measures after the coronavirus is over、Such as recording an amount several times to several tens of times more than the amount to cover emergency medical expenses.、This is a policy decision that is questionable as to whether they are really seeing what is in front of them.。

More than 46 billion yen、``Two cloth masks for each household'' using a huge budget。What about a family of three? There was talk from early on that、It's a futile foolish plan to just say, ``Just do something, right?''。I don't know how many people wanted it, but、The basis for calculating the amount of 100,000 yen、Inconsistency with its policy meaning。The government is also stupid、I can only say that the people and the media who welcome it are idiots.。It's not about the amount、It's impossible to think logically、Brain poverty is much more serious than coronavirus。

What the coronavirus is revealing、The medical system is weak、beyond that problem、How we are a people who don't think.、Isn't that what it means?。"The state of emergency has been extended."、Oh yeah?、I don't want it、Until we defeat Corona。It's a 100 million ball crushing fireball.。As of May 5th, the number of infected people in Tokyo is 4,654.、Population: 13,951,781 people(2020/3/13right now)。simply calculate、Infection rate 0.000333。Roughly speaking, 3 out of 10,000 people (1 in 10,000 in Saitama Prefecture)。Also include people who have been discharged from the hospital.、is。The number of deaths in Tokyo is 141 (as of 5/5).、After all, if you divide it by the population, it becomes 1 in 100,000 people.。By the way, Tokyo has the lowest rate of traffic accident fatalities in the country.、2019Approximately 1 in 100,000 people in 2019。Suicide mortality rate is 15.7 (per 100,000 population)compared to、Are the numbers convincing?。The number of suicides this year is sure to increase.。

If you become one of them、that's tough。Because we don't do PCR tests.、I was careful, so I ended up with that number.、Also in words such as、It's only a little bit, but it makes sense。But、Even so, does this mean we have to shut down the economy for half a month? who is feeling the pain、Aren't they a different group from the people who loudly urge people to refrain from going out? This is not to say that infection prevention itself is bad.。However、Isn't this approach itself symbolized by the "two masks per household" policy?、It is a sport that is firmly connected to the essence of current sports.。

Silent Spring

春の道端は花がいっぱい
誰も見てなくても藤は咲く

もう1ヶ月半電車に乗っていない美術館も図書館も閉まっているし行くところがないからでもあるが忙しいからでもある大学もオンラインの授業をすることになりそのための動画などの編集で毎日10時間以上パソコンの前から離れることができない

「今年は動画編集できるようになりたいなー」なんて考えていたらいきなりやらざるを得なくなった「渡りに舟」どころか岸辺からいきなり舟に引きずり込まれいきなり一人で舵を取りながら漕げといわれた感じしかも目の前に急流があるからその前に岸につけろというそんな無茶なと思ったがすでに水の上だ見よう見まねでやるしかないと思ってはみたもののやはり苦手は苦手毎日ちょっとしたことでニッチもさっちも行かなくなるでもなぜか一晩寝るとあら不思議昨日のアレはなんだったのか。But、急流はどんどん迫る早くなんとかせねばと考えだすと眠れない

At times like that、田舎はいい自転車で10分も行くともう畑や田んぼだらけすれ違う人もいないからマスクも顎の下にずらしたまま道端には春の野草花が満開だ「イモカタバミ」も初めて知った見れば確かにカタバミの葉のかたちマメ科の花は「ヤハズノエンドウ」別名カラスのエンドウだコオドリコソウも覚えたタンポポはもちろん菖蒲も藤も満開。But、それを愛でる人がいない。Suddenly、レイチェル・カーソンの「サイレント・スプリング(沈黙の春)」を思い出した

彼女はDDTの薬害による自然界の物言わぬ死鳥も歌わない昆虫もいない世界を「沈黙」というキーワードで環境破壊の恐ろしさを告発したコロナで恐れ慄いている今は鳥もいる至るところで蝶も見る川では鯉が跳ねているのも見た。But、人がいない別な意味での「沈黙の春」だと思ったコロナは仕方ない。But、この異常な騒ぎようはなんなのかむしろ人災を拡大しているのではないかおそらく日本ではコロナウィルスによる感染死より経済的に追い詰められた自殺者の方が多くなるだろうと危惧している4月中の収入社会人になって以来初めてゼロになりました

I'm busy killing time

"I think I should draw watercolors like this."

I'm bored so I draw videos every day、いやいやそうじゃない。I know that I can only do what I can't do, but I'm frustrated、I guess so after all。To draw a video、It takes longer than I thought。So it's perfect for killing time、No, that's not it、But maybe that's true。If it's a video like this, it's fine to "shoot video" from the beginning.。But、That's that。

The number of new coronavirus cases in Tokyo today is apparently 189.。More than yesterday's 144。The infection is spreading。So we have to "self-restraint" more strictly? but、It looks tiny from the perspective of 14 million people in Tokyo.。

As of April 10th, the number of PCR tests conducted in Tokyo is、1Approximately 300 cases per day。This means that the maximum number of infected people will not exceed 300 per day.、300After testing, 189 people were positive.、It also shows a certain probability。Only people with symptoms are tested、In this case, you need to be careful about the meaning of the word "probability."、At least, the number of infected people has increased by 189 in Tokyo.、That doesn't mean。

"Number of infected people 189"。How many more or less has increased since yesterday?、Actually, it doesn't mean much、The essence is that "I tested 300 people who complained of symptoms and 189 people tested positive."。Even if you complain of symptoms, only 300 people will be tested.、Even if the test is positive, none of the other 189 people are counted.。If we increase the number of tests, the number of infected people should definitely increase.、You can also say that。I'm not saying that the news reports are lying、(I don't know if it's intentional or not) I don't think they are necessarily trying to convey the essential meaning.。。142、144、189 or、300What does "numbers" mean?、How does this involve the "request" in this "state of emergency"?。It's a good idea to think about that, but also kill time。